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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has averaged 27.6 points per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.

DeMar DeRozan has sunk 44.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games at home, 10.8% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year playing at home.

DeMar DeRozan has tallied 35.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.

The matchup vs. Indiana is a good one; when the Pacers are the visiting squad, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (16.8).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Away from their home court, the Pacers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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