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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Phoenix Suns

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has posted 27.6 points per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- among the best in the league in this category.

DeMar DeRozan has converted 44.9% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 10.8% more than he's made over the course of the year when playing at home.

DeMar DeRozan has played 35.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Suns is a challenging one for attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 8th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7).

The Suns have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased plays for the Bulls.

The Chicago Bulls have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

When playing away from home, the Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Phoenix is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.8 foul shots per game this year when the Suns are the visiting team (6th-least in the NBA).

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