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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 23.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 3.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

DeMar DeRozan has played 35.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 98th percentile.

The Chicago Bulls have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.

The matchup against Toronto is a positive one; when the Raptors are at home, they have allowed the 26th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (16.0).

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Bulls.

The Chicago Bulls rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

DeMar DeRozan will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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