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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Assists
Player Prop - 11/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls

DeMar DeRozan Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has totaled 5.5 assists per game since the start of last season, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 92nd percentile.

DeMar DeRozan has played 35.6 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 97th percentile.

Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the other team has grabbed 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan places in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.5 fouls per game away from his home court since the start of last season.

The least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.

The Bulls are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-slowest pace away offense in the league this year (the Nuggets).

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

DeMar DeRozan will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player production for all stats.

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