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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Assists
Player Prop - 4/14/2023

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has posted 5.4 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the league's best in this category in recent days: 93rd percentile.
  • DeMar DeRozan has averaged 35.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
  • The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (84th percentile).
  • The Chicago Bulls have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
  • The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Bulls.
  • The Chicago Bulls check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • DeMar DeRozan will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decreases stat production across the board.

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