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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Assists
Player Prop - 4/12/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls

DeMar DeRozan Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-158/+128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has averaged 5.5 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the best in the league in this category over this stretch of games: 93rd percentile.

DeMar DeRozan has been on the court for 35.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 98th percentile.

While on their home court, the Raptors have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

DeMar DeRozan has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (84th percentile).

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Bulls.

The Chicago Bulls have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

DeMar DeRozan will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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