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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Assists
Player Prop - 3/17/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has compiled 4.9 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 92nd percentile.
  • DeMar DeRozan has tallied 35.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
  • The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Timberwolves have played at the fastest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Bulls.
  • DeMar DeRozan will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has committed 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, 0.2 higher than he's committed overall this season at home.
  • The Chicago Bulls check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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