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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Assists
Player Prop - 3/15/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-104/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has put up 4.9 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 92nd percentile.
  • DeMar DeRozan has tallied 35.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Kings have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Bulls.
  • DeMar DeRozan will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to improves player performance in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 15 games on his home court, 0.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season at home.
  • The Chicago Bulls have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • When playing on the road, the Kings have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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