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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Assists
Player Prop - 2/28/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls

DeMar DeRozan Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-144/+118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has tallied 5.0 assists per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- one of the best in the NBA in this category.

DeMar DeRozan has played 35.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 98th percentile.

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

When playing at home, the Raptors have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

DeMar DeRozan has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (76th percentile).

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Bulls.

The Chicago Bulls rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

DeMar DeRozan will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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