Delon Wright Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2024

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Delon Wright

NBA · Player Props

Delon Wright

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 20, 2024

Updated Dec 21, 2024 12:28 AM EST

Analysis

Delon Wright Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Delon Wright has sunk 41.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 13.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season when playing away from home.
Out of all players in the NBA, Delon Wright registers in the 9th percentile for personal fouls, logging just 0.6 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
The Bucks have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 41.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) against the Cavaliers, resulting in a strong matchup.
The Bucks are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Cavaliers).

Favors Under

The Bucks have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Delon Wright has converted a lowly 41.7% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit lower than his 82.8 rate last season.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).
Delon Wright will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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