Delon Wright Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Delon Wright

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 21, 2024

Updated Jan 22, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Delon Wright Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Delon Wright has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 20th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
This matchup is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Denver Nuggets are on the road, opposing clubs have totaled the 2nd-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (30.5).
The most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.
The Wizards check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Delon Wright has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 16.7% more than he's made overall this year while playing at home.

Favors Under

Delon Wright has made 33.0% of his field goal attempts while at home this year, ranking him in the 11th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Wizards are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets).
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
With respect to drawing fouls, the Washington Wizards's poor 18.6 foul shot attempts per game when playing at home ranks worst in the league this year.
Over the last 20 games when they are playing at home, opposing teams have attempted 23.2 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.