Delon Wright Points - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

NBA · Player Props

Delon Wright

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Delon Wright Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Delon Wright has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the least-whistled players in the league (15th percentile).
In regard to shooting, the Washington Wizards's superb 48.7% field goal percentage playing at home settles in as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 9.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).
Among all players in the league, Delon Wright ranks in the 22nd percentile for off the mark foul shot attempts, averaging a mere 0.2 per game since the start of last season.
This matchup is a hard one for drawing fouls; their opposition has attempted just 20.5 free throws per game when the Miami Heat have the home court advantage since the start of last season (3rd-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

This matchup is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Heat are on the road, opposing teams have tallied the 4th-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA against them since the start of last season (13.1).
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from competing against the 10th-slowest pace team in the league this year (the Heat).
The Washington Wizards have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Delon Wright will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.