Dejounte Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/18/2023

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Dejounte Murray

NBA · Player Props

Dejounte Murray

G · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 18, 2023

Updated Apr 18, 2023 11:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Dejounte Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dejounte Murray has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Celtics have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dejounte Murray has tallied a measly 4.6 defensive rebounds per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 7.1 defensive rebounds per game last season.
Dejounte Murray has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (94th percentile).
When playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dejounte Murray will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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