Dejounte Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Dejounte Murray

NBA · Player Props

Dejounte Murray

G · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Dejounte Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dejounte Murray has put up 5.1 defensive rebounds per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
Dejounte Murray has averaged 36.2 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Trail Blazers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dejounte Murray will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to raises player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Dejounte Murray has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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