Dejounte Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2025

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Dejounte Murray

NBA · Player Props

Dejounte Murray

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 29, 2025

Updated Jan 30, 2025 1:00 AM EST

Analysis

Dejounte Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dejounte Murray has tallied 22.6 points per game over the last 5 games while at home, 4.4 more than he's tallied overall this season at home.
Dejounte Murray has tallied 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 90th percentile.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 2.4 3-pointers per game (9th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a good matchup.
The Pelicans have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo pace away team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 45.8% rate, Dejounte Murray's shooting prowess has fallen this season to 38.8%.
When it comes to scoring, the New Orleans Pelicans's unimpressive 109.1 points per game settles in as the 7th-worst in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

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