Dejounte Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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Dejounte Murray

NBA · Player Props

Dejounte Murray

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 13, 2024 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Dejounte Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dejounte Murray has attempted 22.0 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Dejounte Murray has attempted 10.3 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 3.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Dejounte Murray registers in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 35.0 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The 4th-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
The Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays today from competing against the 8th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).

Favors Under

Dejounte Murray has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for in all games this year.
As it relates to offense, the Hawks's subpar 45.2% field goal rate away from their home court measures as the 4th-lowest in the league this year.
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 1.3 3-pointers per game (fewest in the league) against the Timberwolves, making this a tough matchup.
Dejounte Murray stands to suffer a drop-off in performance across the board considering being on the road in this game.

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