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Dejounte Murray

Dejounte Murray Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2024

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

Dejounte Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dejounte Murray has attempted 25.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 6.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Dejounte Murray has attempted 10.1 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Among all players in the league, Dejounte Murray places in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 35.6 minutes per game this year.

The 4th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.

The Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dejounte Murray has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's been called for overall this year.

Over the last 25 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 17.9 points per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive performance.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Hawks.

The matchup vs. Miami may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 4.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Miami Heat are the visiting team (7th-least in the league).

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