Dejounte Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Dejounte Murray

NBA · Player Props

Dejounte Murray

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 28, 2023 11:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Dejounte Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dejounte Murray has attempted 17.9 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.
Dejounte Murray has played 35.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
When playing on the road, the Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dejounte Murray has successfully made 23.1% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, -9.1% less than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a hard one for attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.7).
The Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Hawks.

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