Dejounte Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Dejounte Murray

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 13, 2023

Updated Mar 13, 2023 10:27 PM UTC

Analysis

Dejounte Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dejounte Murray has attempted 18.5 field goals per game while playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.
Dejounte Murray has attempted 6.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Dejounte Murray has played 36.2 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The matchup against Minnesota is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Timberwolves are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have compiled the 26th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (38.6%).

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA).