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Dejounte Murray

Dejounte Murray Points
Player Prop - 3/6/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Dejounte Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dejounte Murray has attempted 6.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Dejounte Murray has tallied 34.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (17.5).

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dejounte Murray has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 10th-least aggressive offense in the league on the road this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should reduce plays for the Hawks.

Dejounte Murray will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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