Dejounte Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

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Dejounte Murray

NBA · Player Props

Dejounte Murray

G · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 3:38 AM UTC

Analysis

Dejounte Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dejounte Murray has averaged a terrific 6.1 assists per game this season, a big improvement over his 5.9 assists per game last season.
Dejounte Murray has averaged 32.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
Dejounte Murray has been called for a measly 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 0.1 technicals per game last year.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA on their home court this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 14thbest in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 14.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-slowest tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
While playing on the road, the Cavaliers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Dejounte Murray stands to see a decline in efficiency across the board due to playing away from hom in this matchup.

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