De'Anthony Melton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 11:47 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has compiled 3.8 defensive rebounds per game this year on the road, putting him among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric recently: 79th percentile.
The 76ers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 13.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (82nd percentile).
The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the slowest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Hornets).
The Charlotte Hornets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

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