De'Anthony Melton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 9, 2023

Updated May 10, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-144/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has tallied 1.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this season on the road.
While at home, the Celtics have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 1.7 fouls per game last season.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player production for all stats.

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