De'Anthony Melton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · May 7, 2023

Updated May 7, 2023 7:46 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+114/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +126 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has tallied a terrific 27.2 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 21.5 minutes per game last year.
De'Anthony Melton will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to raises stat production across the board.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (81st percentile).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

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