De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2026

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 7, 2026

Updated Apr 8, 2026 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have put up 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, creating a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 9th-best in in the league with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. the Kings is a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 4.7 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Warriors's poor 46.2% field goal rate rates 6th-fewest in the NBA this year.
The Warriors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease plays for the Warriors.

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