De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2026

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 18, 2026

Updated Mar 18, 2026 10:48 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has tallied 21.0 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 7.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
The matchup against the Celtics is a good one for threes; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (3.0).
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out best in in the league with 14.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The Warriors have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
The 3rd-slowest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.3 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

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