De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2026

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 13, 2026

Updated Mar 14, 2026 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-122/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -215 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has averaged 18.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.6).
The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in plays in this game from facing the 9th-speediest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out best in in the league with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
When it comes to getting to the foul line, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 16.9 free throws per game comes in as the worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, struggling to get to the foul line.

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