De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2026

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 5, 2026

Updated Mar 6, 2026 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-126/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has scored 16.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 more than he's scored over the course of the year.
The Warriors have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home.
The Warriors check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Houston may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Rockets have the home court advantage (4th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

With respect to three-point shots, the Warriors's poor 33.8% rate of drained threes settles in as the 6th-lowest in the league over the last 15 games.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 24.8% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, making this a tough matchup.
The Warriors are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Rockets).

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