De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 13, 2024 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has made 2.0 3-pointers per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a good one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).
The Warriors have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
De'Anthony Melton will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to improve player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has converted 36.4% of his shot attempts from the field since the start of last season, ranking him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Warriors.
Out of all players in the NBA, De'Anthony Melton ranks in the 17th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, registering a measly 0.0 foul shot attempts per game on his home court since the start of last season.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the free-throw line as the home team: 5th-worst in the NBA since the start of last season, tallying a lowly 19.9 foul shot attempts per game.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to get to the free-throw line.