De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2024

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has attempted 5.5 three-point shots per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 44.1% on threes (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, making this a favorable matchup.
The 6th-quickest tempo visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Thunder).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out best in in the NBA on the road with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has sunk 35.7% of his shots from the field away from his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 10th percentile among all players in the NBA.
De'Anthony Melton has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Thunder, making it tough to draw fouls.
De'Anthony Melton will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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