De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has attempted 5.8 threes per game this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA.
De'Anthony Melton has played 29.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 13.6 field goal attempts per game (22nd-most in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, branding this as a positive matchup.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the 76ers.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (80th percentile).
The 8th-slowest pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Hawks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton will likely suffer a reduction in productivity for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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