De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2024

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Utah Jazz · Jan 6, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 6:48 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home.
The Philadelphia 76ers will likely see an increase in plays today from competing against the 5th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Jazz).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 4thbest in in the league at home with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This matchup is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team has attempted a lowly 19.3 free throws per game when the Jazz are the visiting squad this year (2nd-least in the league).

Favors Under

The 76ers have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.
When playing away from home, the Utah Jazz have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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