De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Houston Rockets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Anthony Melton registers in the 86th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, totaling 5.7 per game this year.
In regard to scoring, the 76ers's exceptional 124.3 points per game settles in as the 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The 9th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise spark additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (81st percentile).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have shot 24.8% on threes (15th-weakest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, resulting in a challenging matchup.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 7.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
De'Anthony Melton should experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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