De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has attempted 5.6 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 14.8 shot attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Magic, resulting in a positive matchup.
The 76ers have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The Magic have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (79th percentile).
In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
De'Anthony Melton will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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