De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has attempted 7.8 threes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
The matchup vs. the Hornets is a positive one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 28th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.6).
The 76ers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 13.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, De'Anthony Melton ranks in the 25th percentile for field goal proficiency without the home court advantage with a a poor 39.3% rate this year.
De'Anthony Melton has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (82nd percentile).
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 10th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the slowest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Hornets).
The Charlotte Hornets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).