De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Washington Wizards · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has made a whopping 44.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, significantly higher than his 37.0 mark last year.
The matchup against Washington is a favorable one; when the Washington Wizards are playing at home, they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (18.3).
The 76ers will likely get a boost in plays in this game from facing the speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Washington Wizards).
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 0.9 mark, De'Anthony Melton's free throws converted have surged this season to 2.3 per game.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year in regard to 3-point attempts.
While playing away from home, the Washington Wizards have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Wizards is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 2.2 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the NBA).

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