De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 30, 2023 3:22 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has successfully made 2.2 treys per game this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA.
This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (27th-highest in the league) against the Pelicans, resulting in a positive matchup.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should boost possessions for the 76ers.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 9thbest in in the league as the road team with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
De'Anthony Melton has converted a terrific 2.0 free throws per game this year, significantly higher than his 0.9 rate last year.

Favors Under

As it relates to three-point attempts, the 9th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league as the visting team this year.
On the road, the Pelicans have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing starting SGs have attempted 0.9 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, struggling to get to the foul line.
De'Anthony Melton will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen stat production in all facets of the game.

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