De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2023

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 27, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 3:39 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, De'Anthony Melton registers in the 83rd percentile for 3-point shots hit away from home, registering 2.2 per game this year.
The 6th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 6 games has been the 76ers.
The Lakers have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should raise opportunities for the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
In contrast to last year's 0.9 clip, De'Anthony Melton's free throws scored have risen this year to 2.1 per game.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The 76ers have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Los Angeles Lakers have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 7th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.4).
When playing away from home, the Lakers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) against the Lakers, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.