De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 8:57 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has successfully made 2.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's sunk in all games this season while at home.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should increase opportunities for the 76ers.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 6thbest in in the league as the home team with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
De'Anthony Melton has sunk a whopping 2.2 foul shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 0.9 mark last season.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA as the home team this year with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against Oklahoma is a hard one; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are on the road, they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (12.7).
The 5th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the 76ers.
While at home, the Oklahoma City Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.1 foul shots per game this year when the Oklahoma City Thunder are playing at home (7th-least in the NBA).

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