De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2023

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 21, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has tallied 18.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's tallied overall this year.
De'Anthony Melton has sunk 3.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 more than he's converted from three in all games this year with the home court advantage.
The 4th-most up-tempo tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Cavaliers have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the 76ers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 6thbest in in the NBA when playing away from home with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (76th percentile).
With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league as the road team this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The matchup against Cleveland is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (5.2).
While on the road, the Cavaliers have given up the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Cleveland is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted just 2.7 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Cleveland Cavaliers are on their home court (11th-least in the NBA).