De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has converted 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's made overall this season while on the road.
The 76ers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
This year, opposing teams have snagged 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in extra chances for offense).
De'Anthony Melton has attempted 2.3 foul shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.1 rate last season.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has made a lowly 29.0% of his field goal attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 40.3 mark last season.
The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a hard one for three-point shots; when the Brooklyn Nets are away from home, opposing starting SGs have put up the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the league since the start of last season (27.2%).
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to lower player production across the board.