De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:38 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, De'Anthony Melton registers in the 80th percentile for 3-point effectiveness while on the road with a an impressive 41.5% rate this year.
The 76ers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
The matchup against Atlanta is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Atlanta Hawks are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.4).
The Hawks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should boost plays for the 76ers.
Compared to last season's 1.1 rate, De'Anthony Melton's number of free throws has risen this season to 2.4 free throws per game.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has made 39.4% of his field goal attempts on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
De'Anthony Melton has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The 76ers have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league as the visting team this year.
The 76ers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Hawks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).