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De'Anthony Melton

De'Anthony Melton Points
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 76ers have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from home.
  • The Pacers have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to more possessions for the 76ers.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the Pacers is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 4.7 foul shots per game this year (28th-most in the NBA).
  • De'Anthony Melton will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally increases player production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Relative to last year's 39.4% rate, De'Anthony Melton's scoring effectiveness has fallen this year to 31.9%.
  • De'Anthony Melton has averaged 0.0 technical fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to getting T'ed up.
  • As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the league when playing away from home this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
  • The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 9th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (5.1).
  • Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have secured 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (saving possessions that can produce additional opportunities for offense).

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