De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 10:33 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 19.4 points per game (28th-highest in the NBA) against the Pacers, making this a good matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The 76ers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 2nd-fastest tempo visiting team in the league this year (the Pacers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers rank 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Indiana is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 5.1 foul shots per game this year when the Pacers are playing at home (29th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 39.4% clip, De'Anthony Melton's scoring performance has diminished this season to 28.7%.
When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the league as the home team this year has been the 76ers.
Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have captured 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Pacers (lengthening possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).
Compared to last season's 75.0% mark, De'Anthony Melton's foul-shot effectiveness has tailed off this season to 50.0%.

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