De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 4:56 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-104/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has made 2.0 shots from downtown per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while at home since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, their opposition has averaged 35.4% on threes (9th-weakest in the league) against the Suns, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 10th-quickest tempo visiting team in the NBA this year (the Suns).
The matchup against Phoenix is a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.2 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Suns are on their home court (24th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, De'Anthony Melton measures in the 15th percentile for field goal proficiency with a a feeble 38.8% rate since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the league, De'Anthony Melton places in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.5 fouls per game since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 5.5 3-point attempts per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, making this a difficult matchup.
The 5th-slowest tempo team in the league this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Philadelphia 76ers rank 4thworst in in the league away from home with a mere 8.9 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.