De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2023

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 2, 2023

Updated Nov 2, 2023 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Anthony Melton comes in at the 83rd percentile for threes drained away from home, logging 2.0 per game since the start of last season.
The 76ers check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA playing at home since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, opposing starting SGs have averaged 38.5% on three-pointers (26th-best in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, resulting in a strong matchup.
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing squads have brought down 9.4 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) against the Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise generate further chances for offense).
De'Anthony Melton will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has converted 39.1% of his shots from the field without the home court advantage since the start of last season, placing him in the 16th percentile out of all players in the league.
De'Anthony Melton has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (76th percentile).
The 76ers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA while on the road since the start of last season.
The 76ers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Raptors).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Philadelphia 76ers rank 4thworst in in the league while playing at home with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.