De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 5/14/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 14, 2023

Updated May 14, 2023 9:21 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has successfully made 1.8 threes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA.
De'Anthony Melton has been on the court for a whopping 27.1 minutes per game this season, a significant increase from his 21.5 minutes per game last season.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road.
The matchup against the Celtics is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.3).
De'Anthony Melton has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 22.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Celtics have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).