De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2023

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NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 9, 2023

Updated May 9, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has attempted 4.8 three-point shots per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (15.2).
While at home, the Celtics have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
De'Anthony Melton has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 22.5% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 1.7 fouls per game last season.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Celtics may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.4 free throws per game over the last 25 games (15th-least in the NBA).