De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2023

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De'Anthony Melton

NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · May 7, 2023

Updated May 8, 2023 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has successfully made 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from downtown overall this season.
De'Anthony Melton has tallied a terrific 27.2 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 21.5 minutes per game last year.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one for three-pointers; opposing teams have tallied the 4th-least three-pointers per game in the league this year (11.8).
The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted just 20.9 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the league).

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has made 40.3% of his shots from the field this year, putting him in the 25th percentile out of all players in the league.
De'Anthony Melton has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (81st percentile).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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