De'Anthony Melton Points - Player Prop Bet 5/5/2023

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NBA · Player Props

De'Anthony Melton

G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · May 5, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

De'Anthony Melton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Anthony Melton has converted 2.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA.
De'Anthony Melton has been on the court for an impressive 27.2 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 21.5 minutes per game last year.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Celtics have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Celtics may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted a mere 16.4 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).

Favors Under

De'Anthony Melton has converted 40.3% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 25th percentile among all players in the league.
De'Anthony Melton has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (82nd percentile).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).